Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.035352 0.041001 0.047268 0.054739 0.063407 0.073151 0.084944
2025-12-28 0.026994 0.034503 0.043679 0.055724 0.071139 0.090233 0.115731
2026-01-04 0.021681 0.029884 0.040686 0.055970 0.077086 0.105303 0.145998
2026-01-11 0.018071 0.026503 0.038311 0.056086 0.082245 0.119460 0.176674
2026-01-18 0.015627 0.024177 0.036803 0.056853 0.088018 0.134826 0.210886
2026-01-25 0.013903 0.022559 0.035958 0.058275 0.094695 0.152111 0.250149
2026-02-01 0.011857 0.020082 0.033367 0.056467 0.095864 0.160752 0.276638
2026-02-08 0.010453 0.018419 0.031802 0.056018 0.099037 0.172827 0.310216
2026-02-15 0.009269 0.016946 0.030326 0.055450 0.101813 0.184412 0.344310
2026-02-22 0.008485 0.016061 0.029729 0.056311 0.107163 0.201066 0.389679
2026-03-01 0.007652 0.014966 0.028599 0.056003 0.110239 0.213840 0.429321
2026-03-08 0.006782 0.013681 0.026943 0.054450 0.110667 0.221555 0.459951
2026-03-15 0.006007 0.012498 0.025362 0.052889 0.110980 0.229288 0.492181
2026-03-22 0.005596 0.012001 0.025082 0.053945 0.116808 0.248932 0.552247
2026-03-29 0.005156 0.011381 0.024469 0.054209 0.120977 0.265626 0.608265
2026-04-05 0.004752 0.010787 0.023831 0.054327 0.124822 0.282073 0.666011
2026-04-12 0.004441 0.010358 0.023498 0.055072 0.130161 0.302479 0.735770
2026-04-19 0.004207 0.010073 0.023444 0.056449 0.137134 0.327483 0.820037
2026-04-26 0.003782 0.009285 0.022143 0.054699 0.136400 0.334274 0.860457
2026-05-03 0.003487 0.008771 0.021423 0.054264 0.138828 0.348980 0.922984
2026-05-10 0.003214 0.008279 0.020695 0.053713 0.140887 0.363019 0.985771
2026-05-17 0.003043 0.008023 0.020518 0.054548 0.146630 0.387134 1.078950
2026-05-24 0.002828 0.007626 0.019937 0.054249 0.149330 0.403664 1.153702